Flower
  • VN-Index

    1284.09

    -6.09 (-0.47%)
  • HNX-Index

    242.58

    -1.34 (-0.55%)
  • UPCOM-Index

    91.57

    0.09 (+0.1%)
  • VN30-Index

    1296.9

    -6.3 (-0.48%)
  • VNDiamond

    2154.98

    -1.49 (-0.07%)
  • VNFinlead

    2123.58

    -12.34 (-0.58%)
  • VNMidcap

    1941.62

    -5.98 (-0.31%)
  • VNSmallcap

    1525.14

    -5.52 (-0.36%)
Home PageThe analysisAnalyst meeting notePC1: Powering up the growth

22/07/2019 - 11:43

PC1: Powering up the growth

Please click here to support Yuanta Vietnam in this year’s Asiamoney poll!

We visited PC1 in Hanoi on 19 July. Management announced preliminary 1H19 revenue of VND 3.1 trn (+26.7% YoY) and PAT of VND 213 bn (-26.8% YoY). Going forward, the company is expanding its renewable power and property segments. Also, management plans to invest in five additional hydropower plants (which would boost total installed capacity by +85.1%) and three mid-end apartment projects in Hanoi.

Key Takeaways

  • PC1 has added VND 1,658bn to its order backlog, YTD.
  • Guidance for another VND2.5 trillion to the backlog in 2H2019.
  • Hydropower business expansion is a key focus for management.

Business Risks

  • Intensified competition in power construction.
  • Concentration risk: Most clients are EVN and its subsidiaries.
  • Property is a cyclical business.

1H2019 preliminary revenue of VND 3.1 trillion increased +26.7%YoY and reached 51% of FY19E guidance. 1H19 PAT of VND 213bn declined -26.9% YoY but reached 50.4% of FY19E guidance. Notably, 2018 results were boosted by high gross margin (31%) sales of My Dinh 2 Plaza, which will not repeat in 2019.

Expanding backlog. Year to date, the company has signed new contracts worth VND1,658bn, on top of last year’s backlog of VND 4,650bn. PC1 expressed confidence in its ability to add VND 2,500bn to its backlog in 2H2019. Management sees plenty of room for growth given that EVN expects electricity demand to grow at 8.0-8.5% annually in 2020-2030.

Renewable power and property business expansion. The company plans to invest in five additional hydropower projects, adding 97 MW (+85.1%) to its current installed capacity of 114 MW, most of which should be operational in 2020-2022. Additionally, PC1 is developing three mid-end apartment projects: PCC1 Thanh Xuan (of which 32% has been sold), Vinh Hung (expected revenue: VND 800bn), and Thang Long (expected revenue: VND 1,200 bn).

Valuations. PC1 is trading at 6x TTM earnings (1 STDEV below its 1-yr mean of 6.6x). The stock’s underperformance could be due to investor concerns over the residential property business and resulting lumpiness of earnings.

Please see the link for the full report: 20190719 PC1 AM edited2

Analyst: Binh Truong, binh.truong@yuanta.com.vn